>>> > > > HANG ON, WE ' VE GOT TO SPEAK ABOUT RISING COST OF LIVING BECAUSE IT'' S GETTING A LITTLE BIT BETTER TOO, STEVEN WE'' RE ALL GOOD THE ROOT OF THE ABERRATION BETWEEN THE FEDERAL BOOKS AND ALSO THE MARKET'' S OUTLOOKS ON RATES ARE GREATLY VARYING VIEWS ON HOW AS WELL AS IF RISING COST OF LIVING COMES DOWN. LET'' SBRI IN CNBC SENIOR BUSINESS ECONOMICS PRESS REPORTER STEVE LIESMAN PERHAPS WITH A LITTLE BIT OF GREAT INFORMATION ON RISING COST OF LIVING ISH. >> > > I BELIEVE THIS IS POTENTIALLY EXCELLENT NEWS. WHAT YOU HAVE, BRIAN, IS ESSENTIALLY EXPRESSION ONE SIDE IS RIGHT AS WELL AS ONE SIDE IS MISDOING AND ALSO YOU'' VE GOT THE FED AND ALSO THE MARKETPLACE YOU CONTAINER EXPLAIN IT IN WHICH EACH THINKS INFLATION IS GOING AS WELL AS EVEN WHERE THEY THINK IT IS RIGHT NOW. AND ALSO THAT'' S THE INTEGRAL PART. AND SOME THINK THE FED IS LOOKING AT IT THE UPSIDE-DOWN AND ALSO CONCERNING TO MAKE THE MISTAKE OF RAISING RATES EXCESSIVE TO A 1970SAID VIEW YOU GUYS WERE TALKING ABOUT IT ANNUALALIZING THAT INSTEAD OF ANNUALALIZING THE YEAR OVER YEAR WHICH INCLUDES A GREAT DEAL OF BAD RISING COST OF LIVING FROM A YEAR AGO HERE'' S THE FIVE-MONTH ANNUALALIZED DATA 7.1% IS THE YEAR THROUGHOUT THE YEARS FOR THE HEADLINE THE CORE IS STILL HIGH BUT BETTER THAN IT LOOKS YEAR OVER YEAR HE PROCEEDS TO HARP ON THIS HAWKISH VIEW WHERE PRICE IS DRIVEN MOSTLY BY SALARY POWELL BELIEVES HE ALSO THINKS BEIGES WON'' T COME DOWN UNTIL THE LABOR MARKET LOOSENS UP UP A MARKET HAS BUILT IN RATE CUTS, AND THESE RATES ENDED THE YEAR AT 438 A PART OF THE GAP THE MARKET ALSO STRUCTURE IN A SOLID CHANCE OF ECONOMIC CRISIS WITH THE WORST MISTAKE OF RAISING TOO MUCH AS WELL AS HOLDING FOR TOO LONG ONE THING TO THINK ABOUT IS IF INFLATION– UNDERLYING RISING COST OF LIVING IS WITHOUT A DOUBT REDUCED WHICH WOULD BE THE BIG INFORMATION I PROVIDE YOU, IT LIKEWISE IMPLIES ACTUAL PRICES ARE HIGHER AS WELL AS THE FED IS KPURSING MORE RESTRAINT ON THE ECONOMY THAN EARLIER THAN IDEA.
>> > > ISN ' T THE TROUBLE, AS WELL AS JOE TYPE OF ALLUDED TO THIS IN THE STOCK EXCHANGE, AND BASICALLY STOCKS WILL CERTAINLY INCREASE AND ALSO GO DOWN AND ALSO WE'' LL REACT ACCORDINGLY. I BELIEVE, STEVE, ULTIMATELY WE'' RE NOT GOING TO KNOW IF THE FED REALLY MESSED UP UNTIL PROBABLY A PAIR MONTHS OR QUARTERS AFTER THEY SCREWED UP, RIGHT I MEAN IF THE FUSE IS LIT THE FIRE WON'' T BEGINNING FOR A WILE. HOW SOON WILL WE KNOW? >> > > I ASSUME THAT ' S RIGHT.THE WAY TO
GET THE MODERN VIEW OF WHAT'' S OCCURRING IS LISTEN TO THESE EARNINGS RECORDS AND FOLD THAT IN TO THE DATA THAT'' S HOW I DO IT I ' M SURE'YOUR PANELISTS HAVE A SIGHT ON THAT ONE BUSINESS ' S INCOMES REPORTS IS NOT EVIDENCE OF A TESTIMONIAL OR DATA IT'' S A PIECE YOU NEED TO CONSTRUCT A SITUATION WHEN WE LISTEN TO WHAT FEDEX IS DOING TO SHOT TO MAINTAIN ESSENTIALLY ITS EARNINGS MARGINS, YOU WISHED TO FIGURE OUT HOW WIDESPREAD THAT IS ONLY THE DATA CAN INFORM YOU THAT. BUT IF THERE'' S A GREAT DEAL OF FEDEX ' S AVAILABLE LAYING OFF PEOPLE, CULTING ON CAPX, YOU TIN PRACTICALLY GET A FEEL FOR THAT ON A CONTEMPORARY BASIS >> > > JOE, I THINK YOU ' VE GOT A QUESTION GET ON IN BELOW.
>> > > I SURE DO STEVE, IF YOU ACCOUNT FOR THE MEASURABLE FIRM IN 2023, WHAT'' S THE FED FUNDS RATE LOOK LIKE AT THAT POINT >> > > WELL, IT DEPENDS ON HOW MUCH YOU DO I SIMPLY READ AN ANALYSIS. SOMEBODY THINKS THE 400 BILLION WE WORKED OFF IS WORTH ANOTHER PERSON 50 BASIS FACTORS. THERE'' S VARIOUS ESTIMATES AVAILABLE, BUT I BELIEVE YOU'' RE RIGHT, JOE, TO EXPLAIN THAT IS GOING ON TOO AS WELL AS WHAT'' S A LITTLE UNCLEAR TO ME AND I LISTEN TO EVERY WORD THE FED SAYS IS JUST HOW MUCH THEY'' RE INCORPORATING THAT INTO THEIR FEELING OF FIRM. THEY HAVE THE RATE HIKES AND ALSO HAVE THE Q2, AND ALSO THAT IS GOING TO RATE, AND YOEPG THEY'' RE GOING TO MODIFICATION THAT THERE'' S A SLIGHT TYPE OF TECHNICAL ASPECT TO THIS, JOE, WHICH EXISTS'' S A WHOLE LOT OF MONEY SLOSHING AROUND.THERE ' S A POINT AT WHICH PEOPLE BELIEVE THE Q2 IS GOING TO BECOME BINDING, WHICH HAS AN EFFECT ON THE MARKETPLACE WE MAY NOT EXIST, JOE THE COMPONENT THAT ' S COME OFF MAY BE KIND OF FROGGY WHICH ' S WHY YOUR CONCERN IS A GOOD ONE'BECAUSE YOU ' RE INQUIRING ABOUT 2023 > > THAT ' S A GREAT QUESTION AS WELL AS A MUCH BETTER ANS.
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